BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 173 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   46.17

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2016 Away    W    45.44  27  20    3 216 (  3-  7) Becker                 -0.73      7.73                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W    63.85  34   3   ZZ   6 (  4-  6) Castleton              17.68     13.32                      
  3 09/16/2016 Home    L *  43.06   0  14    3 112 (  8-  3) Framingham St          -3.11    -10.89                      
  4 09/23/2016 Away    L *  52.58  25  34    3 107 (  8-  3) Bridgewater St MA       6.41    -15.41                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    L *  11.39   0  30    3 190 (  4-  6) Mass Maritime         -34.78      4.78                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    L *  38.65  14  17    3 207 (  3-  7) Worcester St           -7.52      4.52                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W *  56.05  17  14    3 135 (  5-  5) Western Conn St         9.88     -6.88                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    W *  53.91  26   8    3 211 (  2-  8) Westfield St            7.74     10.26                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    W *  62.43  22  14    3 149 (  5-  5) UMass-Dartmouth        16.26     -8.26                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    L *  34.35   6  23    3 162 (  6-  4) Plymouth St           -11.83     -5.17                      
      Averages              46.17  17.1 17.7

Best game:   63.85 = 31 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  11.39 = 30 point loss to Mass Maritime
Team stdev:  15.61